Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.004912 0.005559 0.006298 0.007211 0.008323 0.009648 0.011370
2026-02-01 0.003883 0.004647 0.005594 0.006880 0.008624 0.010977 0.014522
2026-02-08 0.003285 0.004070 0.005094 0.006573 0.008736 0.011931 0.017341
2026-02-15 0.002999 0.003827 0.004957 0.006681 0.009385 0.013751 0.022098
2026-02-22 0.002711 0.003534 0.004696 0.006544 0.009605 0.014919 0.026205
2026-03-01 0.002462 0.003265 0.004428 0.006341 0.009656 0.015784 0.030104
2026-03-08 0.002271 0.003056 0.004221 0.006197 0.009768 0.016778 0.034813
2026-03-15 0.002180 0.002985 0.004213 0.006373 0.010487 0.019196 0.044717
2026-03-22 0.002115 0.002947 0.004249 0.006626 0.011401 0.022375 0.059760
2026-03-29 0.002067 0.002927 0.004311 0.006931 0.012493 0.026451 0.083159
2026-04-05 0.001956 0.002799 0.004177 0.006849 0.012727 0.028379 0.100720
2026-04-12 0.001862 0.002690 0.004066 0.006794 0.013010 0.030590 0.124057
2026-04-19 0.001746 0.002544 0.003889 0.006610 0.013014 0.032182 0.149648
2026-04-26 0.001624 0.002382 0.003671 0.006320 0.012708 0.032687 0.170447
2026-05-03 0.001517 0.002236 0.003473 0.006047 0.012393 0.033058 0.192937
2026-05-10 0.001469 0.002190 0.003450 0.006143 0.013079 0.037627 0.284224
2026-05-17 0.001398 0.002097 0.003334 0.006022 0.013138 0.039753 0.364476
2026-05-24 0.001325 0.001998 0.003199 0.005841 0.012988 0.040923 0.444957
2026-05-31 0.001265 0.001917 0.003092 0.005712 0.012971 0.042775 0.574270
2026-06-07 0.001242 0.001901 0.003107 0.005870 0.013876 0.050118 1.109431
2026-06-14 0.001227 0.001898 0.003149 0.006094 0.015077 0.060727 3.029071
2026-06-21 0.001216 0.001902 0.003205 0.006365 0.016547 0.075667 18.721502
2026-06-28 0.001173 0.001844 0.003130 0.006293 0.016751 0.081698 103.085061